Home costs rose in March for the third month in a row as an easing of mortgage charges drew patrons again into the market, knowledge from Halifax reveals.
Common home costs elevated by 0.8 per cent final month, after a 1.2 per cent rise in February, based on the mortgage lender’s newest home worth index. Yr-on-year costs had been 1.6 per cent increased.
The standard UK property now prices £287,880, towards £285,660 the earlier month.
Kim Kinnaird, director at Halifax Mortgages, stated: “The UK housing market continues to point out resilience following the sharp downturn on the finish of 2022. The principal issue behind this improved image has been an easing of mortgage charges. The sudden spike in borrowing prices that we noticed in November and December has now been largely reversed.”
After a lockdown-induced increase that pushed costs to report highs, the market has gone into reverse in current months. The price of residing crunch and fears of a recession hit shopper confidence, as did the uncertainty brought on by the mini-budget in September, which resulted in a bounce in mortgage charges. Borrowing prices have retreated since then.
The speed on a mean five-year mounted mortgage in March final yr was about 1.8 per cent. That rose to above 5.5 per cent after the mini-budget however is now round 4.8 per cent.
Kinnaird stated the figures advised relative stability within the housing market firstly of 2023 “characterised by a partial restoration in exercise and transactions, particularly when in comparison with the numerous drops seen on the finish of final yr”.
The most recent Financial institution of England knowledge confirmed mortgage approvals rose in February for the primary time since August, which economists stated could possibly be an indication that the “worst is up to now”. Mortgages authorised for home purchases beat economists’ expectations to succeed in 43,500 in February, up from 39,600 in January.
Regardless of the rise in approvals, total mortgage lending fell from £2 billion in January to £700 million in February, which, outdoors of the pandemic interval, marks the bottom stage of web borrowing since April 2016.
The rise in home costs compares with figures from the mutual mortgage lender Nationwide, which confirmed that costs within the UK fell for the seventh month in a row in March. Nationwide stated costs retreated one other 0.8 per cent, taking the typical worth of a house within the UK all the way down to £257,122. That was 3.1 per cent decrease than a yr in the past and took costs again to roughly the place they had been in January 2022, based on its home worth index.
Nationwide and Halifax’s figures are based mostly on their very own mortgage approvals.
Martin Beck, chief financial adviser to the EY Merchandise Membership, stated: “Halifax’s measure of home costs in March confirmed one other rise, contrasting with weak spot within the Nationwide index, and complicating a studying of the housing market. Taking the Halifax measure in isolation, it affords one other signal that the economic system is holding up towards headwinds from excessive inflation and rising rates of interest a lot better than many anticipated.”
He stated mortgage approvals and survey proof of housing transactions each appeared to have bottomed out however costs nonetheless seemed “very stretched on most affordability measures”. The typical charge on a brand new mortgage has elevated by over 250 foundation factors in solely 12 months, and there’s a threat that banking points overseas might lead UK lenders to connect tighter circumstances to residence loans, Beck stated.
Tom Invoice, head of UK residential analysis at Knight Frank, stated: “Exercise has been stable however unspectacular within the UK housing market this yr because the hangover from the mini-budget slowly fades. Costs are broadly in a holding sample however shall be examined this spring as provide rises and better mortgage charges trigger a pointy consumption of breath amongst a rising variety of patrons and owners.”
The Financial institution of England has raised rates of interest to 4.25 per cent to deal with double-digit inflation. It has indicated that they may rise additional.